Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 4.444575 4.930794 5.450545 6.047949 6.716248 7.441501 8.289101
2026-01-25 3.591896 4.250414 5.004230 5.933031 7.049520 8.351960 9.991691
2026-02-01 3.007616 3.750951 4.650845 5.825088 7.323691 9.181256 11.672255
2026-02-08 2.582828 3.365892 4.359503 5.720521 7.548420 9.935368 13.316181
2026-02-15 2.282309 3.089324 4.155881 5.680005 7.820716 10.747844 15.100550
2026-02-22 2.100724 2.942140 4.095704 5.808627 8.314716 11.889101 17.448456
2026-03-01 1.904375 2.748525 3.943965 5.780627 8.567474 12.695725 19.382397
2026-03-08 1.700955 2.521300 3.717016 5.610936 8.580234 13.131615 20.780038
2026-03-15 1.558483 2.368555 3.581685 5.559175 8.757000 13.820468 22.634049
2026-03-22 1.478211 2.301527 3.567274 5.689040 9.225624 15.006876 25.425197
2026-03-29 1.407392 2.241694 3.556469 5.819559 9.701810 16.244174 28.433107
2026-04-05 1.321192 2.148860 3.483240 5.836969 9.983899 17.173067 30.990586
2026-04-12 1.225088 2.033707 3.366798 5.775501 10.132466 17.900547 33.300192
2026-04-19 1.133199 1.918202 3.240244 5.684696 10.219675 18.526945 35.497257
2026-04-26 1.049906 1.810560 3.117956 5.589337 10.287234 19.120617 37.698182
2026-05-03 0.974716 1.710965 3.001267 5.492528 10.340297 19.687913 39.908434
2026-05-10 0.915545 1.635230 2.920787 5.455102 10.501741 20.478312 42.671656
2026-05-17 0.884071 1.607384 2.924993 5.578848 10.991116 21.970647 47.117430
2026-05-24 0.835178 1.543164 2.855976 5.552284 11.172082 22.845452 50.306843
2026-05-31 0.773528 1.450127 2.724977 5.389876 11.054726 23.077134 52.058340
2026-06-07 0.730594 1.389967 2.652757 5.340344 11.169714 23.816847 55.079569
2026-06-14 0.710516 1.373052 2.664036 5.464741 11.671577 25.459078 60.473457
2026-06-21 0.691571 1.356909 2.675385 5.589745 12.186040 27.182284 66.294348